Evaluation and Prediction of Ecosystem Service Value in the Zhoushan Islands Based on LUCC

Islands are the confluence of terrestrial ecology and marine ecology. With urban expansion economic development, ecological environment islands is facing serious threats. In order to study island area land use change/cover (LUCC) its impact on ecosystem service value (ESV), this was conducted. This evaluated ESV Zhoushan based LUCC, using equivalent coefficient method, simulated analyzed in 2025 under different scenarios "Future Land Use Simulation Model". The results showed: (1) From 2000 2020, showed a "∧" type change trend, total amount decreased by 14.1141 million yuan. (2) spatial distribution changes have certain regularity. center water system relatively high but does not significantly over time, while buildings cultivated areas edge low, and, significant. (3) Compared with business-as-usual (BAU) scenario shows slow downward socio-economic development (SED) significant protection priority (EPP) has increased. research provides theoretical basis support for utilization space improvement "eco-economy-society" benefits; addition, provide scientific decision-making sustainable resources (island cities) management ecosystems.